Bracketology 2019-20

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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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Archie Miller talking about how he feels about people like TAS:


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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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Is it possible that San Diego State losing is actually a good thing for them? If they bump down to a 2 seed and stay in the West, they'd then have games in Sacramento and Los Angeles before the Final Four.

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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Bluejaygrad03 wrote:
Sun Mar 08, 2020 10:59 am
Is it possible that San Diego State losing is actually a good thing for them? If they bump down to a 2 seed and stay in the West, they'd then have games in Sacramento and Los Angeles before the Final Four.
Dayton has an inferior resume, but I believe they'll be put on the 1 line anyways for this specific reason.

Committee says it shouldn't matter, but there's 10 humans on that committee, not a computer.
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

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illini25
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by illini25 »

Is there any doubt that Ryan Miller is called Archie Miller because his demeanor is akin to Archie Bunker?
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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

I'm just going to dumb interesting statistics I find as I go along this next week.

Liberty is 24-2 against Quad 4 this season. :shock:
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illini25
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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411 to tribe.
Apparently there’s a site that quantities momentum!
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tombs14
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by tombs14 »

illini25 wrote:
Sun Mar 08, 2020 9:34 pm
411 to tribe.
Apparently there’s a site that quantities momentum!
Barely heard the guys on Big Channel reference it. But I'm interested in seeing it too.

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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- Kansas will be #1 overall for the next week, and I'm struggling to come up with scenarios where Baylor loses #2 overall.
- Gonzaga doesn't have the resume for the 1 line, really. I would strongly suggest winning out (but it just may be a case of SDSU and Gonzaga swapping lines if it goes down).
- SDSU has the better resume. I believe the committee selects Dayton today. They have the backup of knowing SDSU in Los Angeles might be the better draw anyways. The committee is human. They're not supposed to consider that, but it'll be in the back of their mind.
- The 2-3-4 lines are a mess. #6 (Nova) to #13 (Maryland) are very tightly packed, and expect the order to be closely aligned with Championship Week results.
- From the Committee is Human dept: Outright conferencetitles shouldn't matter, but FSU picking off Louisville's half of the title might actually matter.
- Duke sticking as the last 2 for now. Conviction is low they can hold it without winning the ACCT. Have to imagine the 2 line will be filled up with Big East champ/ACC champ/B1G champ, if the right teams win.
- A really, really good team, with the resume for a 2 seed, will get stuck on the 4 line. It was Maryland, barely over Kentucky, this time (UK bumped up an extra spot with a H2H result on MSU).
- The 5-7 lines are also very tightly packed. I've been adjusting my BYU seed, do they drop with a loss to Gonzaga? They might actually. The lack of depth in their resume is an issue, especially surrounded by a bunch of B1G teams fattened up on Q1 games. I think the eye test comes into play there.
- Two major adjustments in seed with Arizona and Texas Tech. I've believed that NET might matter when it comes to seeding (but not selection). I still think they might overseed teams based on NET, but it's to the point where the resume for both teams required a massive adjustment.
- Providence's seed makes me want to throw up, but it's what I think they'll do.
- I don't feel like dissecting the bubble too much right now. It'll change. It always does. All that matters is if you're in the picture or not. Right now, the picture is East Tennessee St through the last 8 out. I feel relatively confident calling everyone above a lock (don't make me regret it, 9 line).
- I don't see a path forward for the following teams, but they might be able to make it close: Oklahoma St, St John's, Oregon St, South Carolina, Alabama, Tennessee, Notre Dame, Syracuse, Clemson, Tulsa, UConn, Rhode Island, St Louis. We'll re-evaluate as we go along.


The 1 line: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
The 2 line: San Diego St, Villanova, Florida St, Duke
The 3 line: Creighton, Seton Hall, Kentucky, Michigan St
The 4 line: Maryland, Oregon, Louisville, Wisconsin
The 5 line: Butler, West Virginia, Ohio St, Auburn
The 6 line: BYU, Colorado, Michigan, Iowa
The 7 line: Penn St, Virginia, Illinois, Houston
The 8 line: Providence, St Mary's, LSU, USC
The 9 line: Arizona, Florida, Marquette, Oklahoma
The 10 line: East Tennessee St, Arizona St, Utah St, Rutgers
The 11 line: Texas Tech, Indiana, Richmond, North Carolina St, Northern Iowa, Stanford
The 12 line: Cincinnati, Stephen F Austin, Yale, Vermont
The 13 line: Liberty, Akron, New Mexico St, North Texas
The 14 line: Belmont, Bradley, Colgate, Hofstra
The 15 line: UC-Irvine, Wright St, Winthrop, Eastern Washington
The 16 line: North Dakota St, Arkansas-Little Rock, Siena, Robert Morris, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina Central

Last 4 in:
Richmond
North Carolina St
Northern Iowa
Stanford

Last 4 out:
Xavier
Wichita St
UCLA
*Cincinnati
Purdue

Next 4 out:
Mississippi St
*Stephen F Austin
Texas
Memphis
Arkansas

Break it down!:
B1G 10
Big East 6
Pac-12 6
Big 12 5
ACC 5
SEC 4
WCC 3
A-10 2
AAC 2
MWC 2
MVC 2
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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MIDWEST 34
@Omaha
1) Kansas vs. 16) Robert Morris/Prairie View A&M
8) LSU vs. 9) Marquette
@Sacramento
4) Wisconsin vs. 13) New Mexico St
5) Auburn vs. 12) Stephen F Austin
@St Louis
3) Creighton vs. 14) Bradley
6) BYU vs. 11) Indiana
@Greensboro
2) Duke vs. 15) Eastern Washington
7) Houston vs. 10) Rutgers

EAST 36
@Cleveland
1) Dayton vs. 16) Arkansas-Little Rock
8) Providence vs. 9) Florida
@Tampa
4) Louisville vs. 13) Akron
5) West Virginia vs. 12) Yale
@St Louis
3) Kentucky vs. 14) Belmont
6) Michigan vs. 11) Richmond/Stanford
@Albany
2) Villanova vs. 15) Wright St
7) Penn St vs. 10) Utah St

WEST 34
@Spokane
1) Gonzaga vs. 16) North Dakota St
8) USC vs. 9) Oklahoma
@Spokane
4) Oregon vs. 13) North Texas
5) Ohio St vs. 12) Vermont
@Cleveland
3) Michigan St vs. 14) Hofstra
6) Colorado vs. 11) North Carolina St/Northern Iowa
@Sacramento
2) San Diego St vs. 15) UC-Irvine
7) Virginia vs. 10) Arizona St

SOUTH 32
@Omaha
1) Baylor vs. 16) Siena/North Carolina Central
8) St Mary's vs. 9) Arizona
@Greensboro
4) Maryland vs. 13) Liberty
5) Butler vs. 12) Cincinnati
@Albany
3) Seton Hall vs. 14) Colgate
6) Iowa vs. 11) Texas Tech
@Tampa
2) Florida St vs. 15) Winthrop
7) Illinois vs. 10) East Tennessee St
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

Endgame.

The 1 line: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton
The 2 line: San Diego St, Villanova, Florida St, Duke
The 3 line: Creighton, Seton Hall, Kentucky, Michigan St
The 4 line: Maryland, Oregon, Louisville, Wisconsin
The 5 line: Butler, West Virginia, Ohio St, Auburn
The 6 line: Michigan, BYU, Iowa, Penn St
The 7 line: Virginia, Colorado, Illinois, St Mary's
The 8 line: Houston, Providence, LSU, USC
The 9 line: Arizona, Florida, Marquette, Oklahoma
The 10 line: East Tennessee St, Arizona St, Utah St, Rutgers
The 11 line: Texas Tech, Indiana, Richmond, North Carolina St, Northern Iowa, Wichita St
The 12 line: Cincinnati, Stephen F Austin, Yale, Vermont
The 13 line: Liberty, Akron, New Mexico St, North Texas
The 14 line: Belmont, Bradley, Hofstra, UC-Irvine
The 15 line: Winthrop, Eastern Washington, North Dakota St, Arkansas-Little Rock
The 16 line: Boston U, Northern Kentucky, Siena, Robert Morris, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina Central

Last 4 in:
Richmond
North Carolina St
Northern Iowa
Wichita St

Last 4 out:
UCLA
*Cincinnati
Stanford
Xavier
Purdue

Next 4 out:
Mississippi St
*Stephen F Austin
Texas
Memphis
Arkansas
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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MIDWEST 34
@Omaha
1) Kansas vs. 16) Northern Kentucky
8) Houston vs. 9) Marquette
@Sacramento
4) Wisconsin vs. 13) New Mexico St
5) Auburn vs. 12) Yale
@St Louis
3) Creighton vs. 14) Belmont
6) BYU vs. 11) Indiana
@Greensboro
2) Duke vs. 15) Winthrop
7) Illinois vs. 10) East Tennessee St

EAST 36
@Cleveland
1) Dayton vs. 16) Prairie View A&M/North Carolina Central
8) Providence vs. 9) Florida
@Tampa
4) Louisville vs. 13) Akron
5) West Virginia vs. 12) Stephen F Austin
@St Louis
3) Kentucky vs. 14) Bradley
6) Michigan vs. 11) Richmond/North Carolina St
@Albany
2) Villanova vs. 15) North Dakota St
7) Virginia vs. 10) Utah St

WEST 34
@Spokane
1) Gonzaga vs. 16) Robert Morris/Siena
8) USC vs. 9) Oklahoma
@Spokane
4) Oregon vs. 13) North Texas
5) Ohio St vs. 12) Vermont
@Cleveland
3) Michigan St vs. 14) UC-Irvine
6) Iowa vs. 11) Northern Iowa/Wichita St
@Sacramento
2) San Diego St vs. 15) Eastern Washington
7) Colorado vs. 10) Rutgers

SOUTH 32
@Omaha
1) Baylor vs. 16) Boston U
8) LSU vs. 9) Arizona
@Greensboro
4) Maryland vs. 13) Liberty
5) Butler vs. 12) Cincinnati
@Albany
3) Seton Hall vs. 14) Hofstra
6) Penn St vs. 11) Texas Tech
@Tampa
2) Florida St vs. 15) UALR
7) St Mary's vs. 10) Arizona St
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by Redbird CC Fan »

TAS with the 100% bracket.
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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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I know this is looking ahead to season after the upcoming one but this has to be one of the more meh fields they've had:


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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

Bluejaygrad03 wrote:
Sat May 02, 2020 10:46 am
I know this is looking ahead to season after the upcoming one but this has to be one of the more meh fields they've had:

Atlantis is winning the war against Maui.
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by squirrel »

Chaminade ain't no rave. :lol:
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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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Wooden Legacy moving to a 2-day, 4-team bracket tournament starting next season:


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squirrel
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by squirrel »

NET tweaks for 2020-21:

The formula is being reduced from 5 factors, to 2: Team Value Index (TVI) and Adjusted Net Efficiency

https://www.ncaa.com/news/basketball-me ... et-2020-21

Also last week, it was announced the NCAA will use NET for the women as well.
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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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Mountain West going to 20 conference games, even though San Diego State wanted to stay at 18 conference games:



The headline buries the lead a bit though as this change doesn't begin until the 2022-23 season when they'd have more flexibility to do this, assuming the MW/A-10 Challenge Series isn't renewed after the 2021-22 season.

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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by squirrel »

The A10, bucking the trend will stick with 18 games.
https://pittsburghsportsnow.com/2020/05 ... -schedule/
"[. . .] and it would be foolish to gobble up sliders when there’s a steak hidden in the fridge." -Kirk Wessler

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

squirrel wrote:
Wed May 20, 2020 4:36 pm
The A10, bucking the trend will stick with 18 games.
https://pittsburghsportsnow.com/2020/05 ... -schedule/
What, that second game vs. Fordham isn't appealing to the top teams?
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by squirrel »

TheAsianSensation wrote:
Thu May 21, 2020 12:01 am
squirrel wrote:
Wed May 20, 2020 4:36 pm
The A10, bucking the trend will stick with 18 games.
https://pittsburghsportsnow.com/2020/05 ... -schedule/
What, that second game vs. Fordham isn't appealing to the top teams?
:lol:
"[. . .] and it would be foolish to gobble up sliders when there’s a steak hidden in the fridge." -Kirk Wessler

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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by Bluejaygrad03 »

The Big Sky says to heck with your 18- or 20-game schedule. We'll play a 16-game schedule next season:



They will have all 11 conference teams qualify for the conference tournament that will be held again in Boise. They will use geographic proximity as one of the criteria to determine which 6 teams each member plays twice and which 4 teams each member plays once.

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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

Travel is more cumbersome in the Big Sky. Pretty spread out. I would expect them to play conference opponents in non-con games, plus an extreme loading up on local WAC/MWC/etc schools.
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Bluejaygrad03
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

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TAS, is there any other conference that would do something like this with the WCC?:


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TheAsianSensation
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Re: Bracketology 2019-20

Post by TheAsianSensation »

Bluejaygrad03 wrote:
Sun May 24, 2020 10:59 am
TAS, is there any other conference that would do something like this with the WCC?:

Two major problems:

The bottom isn't very good and will hurt a conference. The wrong team drawing the wrong WCC team could damage a non-con profile.

And Gonzaga wants nothing to do with it. And every other conference doesn't want a Gonzaga-free event.
That's enough, Reggie Miller.

That's enough, Chris Webber.

http://bracketball.blogspot.com/

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